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Try the Free AI Search EngineSouth America Steel Market Sentiment Soars Amidst Key Activity Shifts and Imports Surge
Recent developments in South America indicate a very positive sentiment in the steel industry, notably driven by changes in production activity and critical market dynamics. The article “Viewpoint: Brazil poised for record soy output, exports” sheds light on Brazil’s economic strength, which is likely to bolster demand across various sectors, including steel. Additionally, the anticipated increase in ethanol imports discussed in “Viewpoint: Brazil ethanol imports may double in Dec-Mar” reflects a strong overarching market activity that could influence steel demand. As observed, recent satellite data has shown notable fluctuations in steel plant activity levels across Brazil.
The mean activity across observed plants peaked at 45% in September 2025, only to drop to 18% by October. Notably, the Simec Pindamonhangaba plant showcased a substantial peak at 64% in July, aligning with the broader economic activity bolstered by agricultural exports, but fell sharply to 23% by October, indicating a potential slowdown. The ArcelorMittal Pecém plant displayed steady activity, maintaining above 37%, though it peaked at 44% in October, suggesting its resilience against market fluctuations. Conversely, Aperam Timóteo remained relatively stable, consistently performing near 48%, suggesting robust demand for its varied product categories.
In linking these developments, it’s critical to note that while increased agricultural exports might stimulate demand for steel products, the drops in activity at Simec Pindamonhangaba as observed need to be monitored closely for potential supply disruptions.
Specifically, as “Policy is key for Cop 30 sustainable fuels pledge” addresses shifts towards sustainable fuels, integrated plants such as ArcelorMittal Pecém, with significant production capacity and production process maturity, may benefit from adaptations to produce greener steel solutions, meeting evolving market demands.
Given the substantial import influx predicted for ethanol, procurement professionals should proactively engage and secure steel supplies from plants with stable performance like Aperam Timóteo and ArcelorMittal Pecém. Additionally, maintaining flexibility in supplier contracts could safeguard against the impacts of variable production levels observed at Simec Pindamonhangaba.

