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Asian Steel Market Report: Neutral Sentiment Amid Activity Fluctuations and Geopolitical Developments

Asia’s steel sector maintains a Neutral sentiment as satellite-observed plant activities reflect mixed trends amid recent geopolitical changes linked to oil supply in Venezuela. Notably, the articles titled US majors face dilemma as they mull Venezuela return and US refiners could see quick boost from Venezuela oil indicate that shifting oil dynamics may indirectly impact steel production and logistics in the region.

Recent observations indicate noteworthy changes across four steel plants. The Tata Sponge Iron Odisha plant (India) averaged 51% activity, yet saw a drop from 52% in November to 51% in December, remaining steady in January at 51%. This consistent activity level suggests resilience despite regional fluctuations with no direct link to the news articles concerning Venezuelan oil.

Conversely, the Esteel Antara Labuan iron plant (Malaysia) exhibited a decline from 42% in December to 44% in January 2026, with significant fluctuations peaking at 36% in August. This activity reduction might indicate operational adjustments amidst fluctuating feedstock prices, although no connections to the recent news developments can be established.

The JSW Steel Salav DRI plant (India) experienced a stable 31% in January despite lower activity earlier at 34% in November and a peak of 38% in October. The fluctuations here suggest internal operational challenges or market adaptations rather than external geopolitical impacts.

In contrast, Wugang Zhongjia Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (China) displayed increasing activity, sharply rising from 81% in November to 85% in January 2026. This upward trend aligns with increased steel demand possibly linked to the anticipated shifts in crude oil supply and refining capacity discussed in articles like US naphtha market braces for disruption.”

With these activity shifts in mind, procurement professionals should be vigilant about potential supply disruptions. For the Esteel Antara Labuan iron plant and JSW Steel Salav DRI plant, the recent stability may necessitate monitoring logistical costs due to their fluctuating activities. Buyers are advised to consider short-term contracts where substantial price increases could occur, particularly if Venezuelan oil dynamics influence raw material sourcing. The increasing capacity at Wugang Zhongjia suggests a favorable opportunity for secure, high-volume procurement; this should be prioritized to buffer against potential price volatility driven by rising crude oil availability.

In conclusion, while geopolitical developments influence other sectors, steel plant activities show mixed but stable performances, emphasizing both risk management and proactive procurement efforts tailored individually to each plant’s flux.