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Green Steel Investments Surge in Sweden, Bolstering European Supply: A Positive Outlook

Europe’s steel market shows a very positive sentiment, largely driven by significant investments in green steel production in Sweden. The momentum is fueled by government support and strategic industry initiatives, exemplified in articles like “Stegra received a $41 million government grant from Sweden” and “Stegra receives additional EUR 37 million support for zero-emission steel plant“. While these specific investments in Stegra have no direct impact on the current satellite-observed steel plant activities, the long-term outlook for European steel supply is bolstered. Additionally, the article “Court confirms SSAB’s permit to build and operate a plant in Luleå” confirms the go-ahead for a major green steel facility, further strengthening the long-term supply outlook. This approval has no immediate, observable effect on current steel plant activity levels.

Bar chart and satellite map of steel production activity in Europe

The mean steel plant activity in Europe fluctuated, peaking in July and August and then dipping to the lowest of the recorded period in October. Makstil Skopje in North Macedonia, an EAF-based plant with a 550,000-tonne crude steel capacity, showed relatively stable activity, ranging between 45% and 48%. This is consistently above the European mean activity level for the months of June and September, but below the mean in July, August, and October. CMC Zawiercie in Poland, a larger EAF-based plant boasting a 1.7 million-tonne capacity and supplying multiple end-user sectors, showed a consistently upward trend in activity, increasing from 58% in June to 61% in October. Its plant activity is always above the European mean steel plant activity. ISD Dunaferr in Hungary, an integrated BF-BOF plant with a 1.6 million-tonne crude steel capacity and producing both semi-finished and finished rolled products, had the lowest activity levels among the monitored plants, climbing steadily from 20% in June to 40% in October. Plant Activity is substantially below the European mean activity level. No immediate connection between the observed activities and the named news articles can be established.

Makstil Skopje, operating with EAF technology and producing semi-finished products, displayed relatively stable activity levels. From June to October its activity fluctuated between 45% and 48%. No direct connection could be established between the current activity levels and the provided news articles, which mainly concern Swedish green steel initiatives.

CMC Zawiercie, a larger EAF-based plant serving diverse sectors, exhibited a consistent increase in activity, reaching 61% in October. Similarly to Makstil Skopje, no direct relationship can be linked between the Polish steel plant activity and the Swedish green steel news.

ISD Dunaferr, reliant on BF-BOF processes, demonstrated a steady increase in activity, though starting from a lower base. It rose to 40% in October. No direct causal relationship can be inferred between the observed activity increase and the previously mentioned news articles on Swedish green steel funding.

Evaluated Market Implications:

The developments in Sweden, as highlighted by “Stegra received a $41 million government grant from Sweden“, “Stegra receives additional EUR 37 million support for zero-emission steel plant“, and “Court confirms SSAB’s permit to build and operate a plant in Luleå“, signal a shift towards green steel production, which could, in the medium to long term, impact the supply dynamics in Europe. The increase in activity at ISD Dunaferr may indicate a recovery from previously low levels.

Procurement Actions:

  • Steel Buyers: Monitor the progress of Stegra’s and SSAB’s projects closely. While these developments don’t offer immediate procurement advantages, understanding the long-term implications of green steel on pricing and availability is crucial. Establish relationships with these emerging suppliers as they ramp up production.
  • Market Analysts: Track the funding landscape for green steel projects across Europe. Government grants and EU support, as exemplified by the news articles, are key indicators of future supply capacity. The increase in the Hungarian steel plant activity should be seen as a positive sign, but the plant remains a risk factor due to its historical instability.