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Asia Steel Market: Capacity Expansions Drive Optimism Amidst Activity Fluctuations

Asia’s steel market exhibits strong positive sentiment driven by capacity expansions in India and Vietnam. Recent developments include “Indian steelmaker to build 2Mt/yr greenfield steel mill,” “Jindal India has launched a new steel plant in West Bengal worth $169 million,” and “Jindal Stainless commissions first stainless steel fabrication unit in Maharashtra.” While expansions signal overall market strength, correlation with satellite-observed plant activity is mixed, with no immediate direct link established between these news reports and activity levels at Vizag Steel or Guangxi Guifeng. The Hoa Phat plant activities are discussed in detail later.

Bar chart and satellite map of steel production activity in Asia

Mean steel plant activity in Asia saw a significant drop in October, falling to 19% from 37% the previous month. Vizag Steel plant’s activity gradually declined from 60% in April and May to 55% in September, with no reading for October. Guangxi Guifeng Special Steel Co., Ltd. showed fluctuating activity, peaking at 66% in May and then dropping to 48% in September. There is no activity data available for October. Hoa Phat Dung Quat steel plant saw a steady increase, reaching a high of 86% in October.

Vizag Steel plant, an integrated BF-BOF steel producer in Andhra Pradesh, India, with a crude steel capacity of 7.3 million tons, experienced a gradual decline in activity from April to September. The absence of data for October makes it hard to correlate the plant´s activity with the recent news articles. Its product portfolio includes rebar, rounds, and wire rods, mainly for building and infrastructure.

Guangxi Guifeng Special Steel Co., Ltd., an EAF-based steel plant in Guangxi, China, showed fluctuating activity between April and September, with no data available for October. The news articles do not directly explain these fluctuations, and no clear connection can be established. The plant has a crude steel capacity of 1.725 million tons.

Hoa Phat Dung Quat steel plant, an integrated BF-BOF steel producer in Quang Ngai, Vietnam, with a crude steel capacity of 5.6 million tons, demonstrated consistent growth in activity throughout the observed period, reaching 86% in October. This strong performance may reflect increased demand within Vietnam’s construction and infrastructure sectors. While not explicitly mentioned, this increase potentially aligns with the general market optimism indicated by the Indian capacity expansions.

The significant drop in mean steel plant activity in Asia to 19% in October warrants close attention. This drop is primarily attributed to the complete absence of reported activity for Vizag Steel and Guangxi Guifeng plants during that month.

The activity increase for Hoa Phat Dung Quat, combined with expansions in India, signals potential regional shifts in steel supply dynamics. Considering the “Jindal India has launched a new steel plant in West Bengal worth $169 million,” increasing its coated products, pipes, and road barriers production, steel buyers should explore diversifying their sources. Specifically, procurement analysts should actively investigate Jindal India’s expanded product lines for coated products, pipes and road barriers, to mitigate potential price increases or supply constraints from other regions. Additionally, they should closely monitor Hoa Phat Dung Quat’s output and pricing strategies, as its activity suggests growing competitiveness in the region. The Indian expansion by Godawari Power and Ispat Ltd. will take some time to come online, meaning that the benefits are not immediate, but mid-term procurement strategies can be adjusted accordingly.